The Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Has Vanished – But the Biggest Bull Run Is Still Ahead, and Here’s the Shocking Reason Why
Ever feel like Bitcoin’s been playing the same four-year game on repeat, only to suddenly switch up the rules when nobody’s looking? Well, that’s exactly the buzz lately—a leading Bitcoin enthusiast, Shanaka Anslem Perera, argues that the iconic crypto has broken away from its historic 4-year halving-driven cycle. It’s like watching your favorite band reinvent their sound overnight, leaving fans scratching their heads but still humming along. Despite the traditional playbook now being “obsolete,” Perera insists this isn’t the end of the bull run; in fact, key metrics like the Pi Cycle, MVRV Z-Score, and Puell Multiple aren’t screaming sell signals—they’re whispering something far more intriguing: a mid-cycle consolidation. And with Bitcoin’s price nudging up by 2.38% in the past day, one has to wonder—is the market rewriting its own story? Let’s dive into this twist and unpack why institutional money—think BlackRock and Fidelity—might just be turning the tide, soaking up supply and smoothing out the wild rides we once expected. Curious how this flips the narrative on those doomsday predictions? LEARN MORE.
Key Notes
- Bitcoin backer is convinced the coin has pivoted from its historic 4-year cycle, which is driven by halving events.
- Key indicators, such as the Pi Cycle, MVRV Z-Score, and Puell Multiple, hint at mid-cycle consolidation.
- Bitcoin price has increased by 2.38% over the last 24 hours.
Science Author, Shanaka Anslem Perera, on X, pointed out that Bitcoin has pivoted from its historic 4-year cycle, which is driven by halving events. As a result of this shift, the coin’s traditional playbook of significant positive momentum has now become obsolete. Still, the crypto enthusiast does not think that Bitcoin’s bull run is over.
Bitcoin Turns Away From 4-Year Cycle
Historically, Bitcoin’s performance has followed a four-year cycle, largely driven by halving events, which result in a reduction in the block reward.
At every point in this cycle, the crypto ecosystem experienced a massive bull run, followed by sharp price corrections. Fast forward to the present day, and there seems to be a notable shift that has now rendered this traditional playbook obsolete.
On October 6, 2025, Crypto Twitter declared Bitcoin’s cycle peak at $126,270. Then this was followed by a 21% drop in the coin’s price levels.
BITCOIN’S 4-YEAR CYCLE JUST DIED AND NOBODY NOTICED
Crypto Twitter exploded calling October 6th the cycle peak. Eighty-four percent crashes incoming. Bear market confirmed. Pack it up.
Except the math says they are catastrophically wrong.
Every indicator that called previous… pic.twitter.com/b6sj1kGn5e
— Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ (@shanaka86) November 8, 2025
As a result, several influencers and analysts, armed with historical patterns, predicted an 84% crash and a prolonged bear market. However, Perera believes that there may be a different story to tell.
There may still be hope, as he claims that the bull run is far from over. Apparently, key indicators such as the Pi Cycle, MVRV Z-Score, and Puell Multiple, which would usually signal the onset of a bull run, are unusually quiet.
According to these metrics, the crypto market is in a mid-cycle consolidation, and not the end of the road.
Institutional Demand For Bitcoin ETFs Shatters 4-Year Cycle
Perera believes that Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) may have played a vital role in redirecting the four-year cycle. Bitcoin ETFs have absorbed a staggering $64 billion, with giants like BlackRock, Fidelity, and corporate treasuries acting as a vacuum for every whale dump.
The influx of institutional investors into the sector may have rid Bitcoin of certain rollercoasters.
On November 4, Coinspeaker reported that Bitcoin ETFs saw outflows of up to $186.5 million, led entirely by BlackRock’s IBIT. Within the last six days leading up to November 7, there were consistent outflows totaling $660 million.
Within the last 24 hours, the sector has seen up to $240 million flood back into ETFs. In the wake of this situation, the Bitcoin price has recovered by 2.38% and is currently trading at $101,997.13. Consequently, Market experts have concluded that settlement, not sentiment, now governs Bitcoin’s price.
Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to deliver accurate and timely information but should not be taken as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify information on your own and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.
Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalist who relishes writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desire to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain media and sites.
