Could Bitcoin’s Bear Market Be Over? Two Surprising Signals Hint at a Major Turnaround
Bitcoin is currently flirting with its immediate support level at $77,290, slipping 2.2% in the past 24 hours—a move hardly the stuff of headlines. But hey, after a savage August selloff, this kind of pause is exactly the catnip for chart technicians eager to sniff out a bottom. So, here’s the million-dollar question: Is this just a brief pit stop on a journey back up, or the dreaded bull trap prowling beneath the surface? Market whiz Will Clemente steps into the ring, tipping a 70–75% chance we’ve hit the cycle bottom, backed by on-chain capitulation signals echoing past lows. Meanwhile, Bitfinex data reveals staunch buyer defense around $76,000–$76,350—the average cost basis of most active investors—which hints at fresh demand every time the price dips there. Couple this with a noteworthy volatility squeeze pattern, and the plot thickens. Of course, the real verdict hinges on how Bitcoin tackles the resistance above and whether institutional players keep stamping their imprimatur on the floor. Intrigued yet? Let’s dive deeper. LEARN MORE.
Bitcoin is trading at its immediate support at $77,290, down 2.2% over the past 24 hours. Not an exciting price action, sure, but after a brutal August drawdown, it’s exactly the kind of stall that technicians get excited about. Two signals in particular are doing the rounds this week, and they’re worth unpacking before deciding whether this is a bottom or a bull trap.
Market analyst Will Clemente now puts the odds of a completed cycle bottom at 70–75%, pointing to an on-chain capitulation cluster paired with a drawdown structure that mirrors prior cycle lows.
Bitfinex on-chain data separately shows repeated buyer defense of the $76,000–$76,350 zone, the average cost basis of active investors, with each retest attracting fresh demand.
A completed volatility compression pattern is adding weight to the bottom thesis among traders watching realized volatility metrics.
Whether this holds depends on what happens at resistance overhead, and on whether institutional flows keep validating the floor. Both are testable in the days ahead.
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Can Bitcoin Price Hit $82,000 This Week?
BTC Chart 1D TradingView
BTC is consolidating between $77,000s to low-$78,000s after closing near $78,900 in the prior session. Price remains above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages (roughly $68,000–$70,000), a structural configuration more associated with bull-phase consolidation than a deepening bear trend.
Immediate support sits at $77,165–$77,200; a break below risks a slide toward $73,000–$74,000. The higher-timeframe floor (the bull-market support band near $69,800–$70,300) remains untested and, for now, largely academic.
Resistance is stacked at $78,800–$79,400, then a thicker band from $80,000 to $82,800, including a Fibonacci “golden retracement” near $82,793.
A decisive close above $80,000 confirms the new leg, with Bitget’s Fibonacci model targeting $82,206 then $97,278. A continued range-bound chop between $76,300 and $79,400 as the market awaits confirmation. A break of $76,000 cost-basis support reopens the $73,000 zone. Renewed spot ETF inflows would tilt this toward the bull case.
Bitcoin’s Modest Gains vs. LiquidChain’s Presale: Where the Asymmetry Is
Anyone who bought the $76,000 dip is sitting on modest gains, and that’s fine. Bitcoin at this size simply doesn’t produce the multiples it once did. A move from $78,000 to $97,000, per Bitget’s upside target, is roughly 24%, respectable but not life-changing for capital chasing early-stage asymmetry. That’s the gap projects like LiquidChain are built to fill, at a fraction of Bitcoin’s market cap and correspondingly higher variance.
LiquidChain ($LIQUID) is a Layer 3 infrastructure project fusing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment: developers deploy once and reach all three ecosystems rather than fragmenting liquidity across chains. The presale is priced at $0.014954 with $964K raised to date.
Core features include a Unified Liquidity Layer, Single-Step Execution, Verifiable Settlement, and Deploy-Once Architecture.
Those tracking Bitcoin’s resilience against macro pressure may find the cross-chain thesis worth a closer look, research LiquidChain before allocating.
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Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to deliver accurate and timely information but should not be taken as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify information on your own and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.
Daniel Frances is a technical writer and Web3 educator specializing in macroeconomics and DeFi mechanics. A crypto native since 2017, Daniel leverages his background in on-chain analytics to author evidence-based reports and deep-dive guides. He holds certifications from The Blockchain Council, and is dedicated to providing “information gain” that cuts through market hype to find real-world blockchain utility.
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