Fundies Cheat Sheet: Uncover Shocking Market Moves from Jun 29–Jul 3, 2026!

Ever wonder why sometimes the markets seem to dance to a tune no one’s really humming? This U.S. jobs week throws a curveball right outta the gate — with Non-Farm Payrolls hitting the scene a day early thanks to July 4th closures. Last week was a real eye-opener: we got a hot Core PCE reading, yet the dollar took a nosedive anyway. Talk about “buy-the-rumor, sell-the-news” shenanigans, huh? But here’s the kicker—the real drama wasn’t even on our radar; tech stocks took a tumble, dragging the S&P 500 and Bitcoin in their wake. And just when you think you’ve got the market’s pulse, bam! A geopolitical subplot sneaks in with the U.S.–Iran ceasefire fraying again, fresh strikes, and the Strait of Hormuz heating up. If you think the jobs report is the only game in town, think again. Buckle up—we’re unpacking event calendars, market scenarios across the board, and even those off-calendar shocks nobody saw coming. The One Screen section? It’s your VIP pass to cut through the noise. Curious yet? LEARN MORE.

This is a U.S. jobs week, and it is front-loaded. Because U.S. markets are closed Friday Jul 3 for the Independence Day holiday, the monthly jobs report (Non-Farm Payrolls) lands a day early, at 12:30 GMT on Thursday Jul 2. Last week taught a sharp lesson: a hot Core PCE printed, and the dollar fell anyway — a “buy-the-rumor, sell-the-news” fade after the number was already priced in. The real engine of the week was off our map entirely: a selloff in the most expensive technology stocks that pulled the S&P 500 and Bitcoin lower. So we walk into this week with two warnings: a well-anticipated number can fade on confirmation, and the driver that matters may not be on the calendar. Meanwhile the U.S.–Iran ceasefire is back under strain — fresh tit-for-tat strikes over the weekend and a renewed Strait of Hormuz threat — so the geopolitical lane is live again. Below: the full event calendar, three jobs-report scenarios with levels for the dollar, gold, stocks, oil, and Bitcoin, an overlay lane for Iran, and a generic lane for an off-calendar shock. The One Screen section stands alone if you read nothing else.